Northern Star Resources Stock Market Value
| NESRF Stock | USD 11.40 0.20 1.72% |
| Symbol | Northern |
Northern Star 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Star's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Star.
| 10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Star on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Star Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Star over 30 days. Northern Star is related to or competes with Regis Resources, West African, Dundee Precious, Evolution Mining, Wesdome Gold, Centerra Gold, and Alkane Resources. Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold deposits in Aust... More
Northern Star Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Star's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Star Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.047 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.73 |
Northern Star Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Star's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Star's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Star historical prices to predict the future Northern Star's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0744 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2764 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0489 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.01) |
Northern Star Resources Backtested Returns
Northern Star appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Northern Star Resources has Sharpe Ratio of 0.1, which conveys that the firm had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Northern Star, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Northern Star's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0744, downside deviation of 2.98, and Mean Deviation of 2.04 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Northern Star holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern Star are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern Star is likely to outperform the market. Please check Northern Star's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Northern Star's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Northern Star Resources has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Star time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Star Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Northern Star price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.17 |
Northern Star Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Star pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Star's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Star returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Star has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northern Star regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Star pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Star pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Star pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northern Star Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Star's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Star pink sheet have on its future price. Northern Star autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Star autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Star pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Star Resources.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Northern Pink Sheet
Northern Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Star security.