Columbia Convertible Securities Fund Market Value
| NCIDX Fund | 22.16 0.32 1.47% |
| Symbol | Columbia |
Columbia Convertible 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Columbia Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Columbia Convertible.
| 12/05/2024 |
| 01/04/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Columbia Convertible on December 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Columbia Convertible Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Columbia Convertible over 30 days.
Columbia Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Columbia Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Columbia Convertible Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6401 |
Columbia Convertible Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Columbia Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Columbia Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Columbia Convertible historical prices to predict the future Columbia Convertible's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.29) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 29.64 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Convertible Backtested Returns
Columbia Convertible secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.34, which signifies that the fund had a -0.34% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Columbia Convertible Securities exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Columbia Convertible's Standard Deviation of 0.677, risk adjusted performance of (0.29), and Mean Deviation of 0.5012 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0084, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Columbia Convertible are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Columbia Convertible is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.2 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Columbia Convertible Securities has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Columbia Convertible time series from 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024 and 20th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Columbia Convertible price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Columbia Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Columbia Convertible lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Columbia Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Columbia Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Columbia Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Columbia Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Columbia Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Columbia Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Columbia Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Columbia Convertible mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Columbia Convertible Lagged Returns
When evaluating Columbia Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Columbia Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Columbia Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Columbia Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Columbia Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Columbia Convertible Securities.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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