Mainstay Total Return Fund Market Value

MTMNX Fund  USD 9.26  0.02  0.22%   
Mainstay Total's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Total Return investors about its performance. Mainstay Total is trading at 9.26 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.22 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Total Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Total Correlation, Mainstay Total Volatility and Mainstay Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Total.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Total on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Total Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Total over 30 days. Mainstay Total is related to or competes with Mainstay Tax, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, and Mainstay Mackay. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80 percent of its assets in bonds More

Mainstay Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Total Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Total historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Total's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.969.269.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.608.9010.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.009.319.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.199.249.28
Details

Mainstay Total Return Backtested Returns

Mainstay Total Return has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0764, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0764% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mainstay Total exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mainstay Total's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), mean deviation of 0.2316, and Standard Deviation of 0.3127 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0776, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mainstay Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mainstay Total is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

Mainstay Total Return has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Total time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Total Return price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Mainstay Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Mainstay Total Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Total mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Total Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Total security.
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