Meridian Small Cap Fund Market Value

MSGCX Fund  USD 12.03  0.14  1.15%   
Meridian Small's market value is the price at which a share of Meridian Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Meridian Small Cap investors about its performance. Meridian Small is trading at 12.03 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 1.15 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Meridian Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Meridian Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Meridian Small Correlation, Meridian Small Volatility and Meridian Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Meridian Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Meridian Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Meridian Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meridian Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Meridian Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Meridian Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Meridian Small.
0.00
06/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Meridian Small on June 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Meridian Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Meridian Small over 180 days. Meridian Small is related to or competes with Meridian Small, Fidelity Small, and Driehaus Micro. The fund seeks long-term growth of capital by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net asse... More

Meridian Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Meridian Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Meridian Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Meridian Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Meridian Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Meridian Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Meridian Small historical prices to predict the future Meridian Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meridian Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3412.2713.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4312.3613.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2912.2213.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0912.2012.30
Details

Meridian Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Meridian Mutual Fund to be very steady. Meridian Small Cap has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0992, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0992% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Meridian Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Meridian Small's Downside Deviation of 0.7823, risk adjusted performance of 0.1409, and Mean Deviation of 0.7044 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.094%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.37, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Meridian Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Meridian Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Meridian Small Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Meridian Small time series from 17th of June 2024 to 15th of September 2024 and 15th of September 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Meridian Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Meridian Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Meridian Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Meridian Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Meridian Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Meridian Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Meridian Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Meridian Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Meridian Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Meridian Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Meridian Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Meridian Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Meridian Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Meridian Small mutual fund have on its future price. Meridian Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Meridian Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Meridian Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Meridian Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Meridian Mutual Fund

Meridian Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meridian Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meridian with respect to the benefits of owning Meridian Small security.
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