Msif Small Pany Fund Market Value

MSCOX Fund  USD 9.73  0.07  0.71%   
Msif Small's market value is the price at which a share of Msif Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Msif Small Pany investors about its performance. Msif Small is trading at 9.73 as of the 20th of December 2024; that is 0.71 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Msif Small Pany and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Msif Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Msif Small Correlation, Msif Small Volatility and Msif Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Msif Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Msif Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Msif Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Msif Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Msif Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Msif Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Msif Small.
0.00
11/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Msif Small on November 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Msif Small Pany or generate 0.0% return on investment in Msif Small over 30 days. Msif Small is related to or competes with Emerging Markets, Global Fixed, Global Fixed, Global Fixed, Global E, Global E, and Global Centrated. The fund will, under normal circumstances, seek to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in establishe... More

Msif Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Msif Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Msif Small Pany upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Msif Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Msif Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Msif Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Msif Small historical prices to predict the future Msif Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.749.7311.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3410.3312.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.469.4511.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5510.0310.51
Details

Msif Small Pany Backtested Returns

Msif Small appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Msif Small Pany has Sharpe Ratio of 0.24, which conveys that the entity had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Msif Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please exercise Msif Small's Mean Deviation of 1.54, downside deviation of 1.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2027 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.67, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Msif Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Msif Small Pany has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Msif Small time series from 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Msif Small Pany price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Msif Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Msif Small Pany lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Msif Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Msif Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Msif Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Msif Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Msif Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Msif Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Msif Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Msif Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Msif Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Msif Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Msif Small mutual fund have on its future price. Msif Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Msif Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Msif Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Msif Small Pany.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Msif Mutual Fund

Msif Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Msif Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Msif with respect to the benefits of owning Msif Small security.
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