Northern Lights Etf Market Value
| MPRO Etf | USD 29.54 0.05 0.17% |
| Symbol | Northern |
The market value of Northern Lights is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Lights' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Lights' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Lights' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Lights' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Lights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Lights is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Lights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Northern Lights 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Lights' etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Lights.
| 08/19/2023 |
| 12/11/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northern Lights on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Lights or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Lights over 480 days. Northern Lights is related to or competes with IShares Core, Alpha Architect, STF Tactical, VanEck Inflation, ClearShares OCIO, Collaborative Investment, and Northern Lights. The fund generally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in the component securities of the index More
Northern Lights Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Lights' etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Lights upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.35) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6131 |
Northern Lights Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Lights' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Lights' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Lights historical prices to predict the future Northern Lights' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) |
Northern Lights Backtested Returns
Northern Lights has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0637, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0637% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northern Lights exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northern Lights' Mean Deviation of 0.3363, standard deviation of 0.4065, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.17, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Lights' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Lights is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.87 |
Very good predictability
Northern Lights has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Lights time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Lights price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Northern Lights price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.87 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.8 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.42 |
Northern Lights lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northern Lights etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Lights' etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Lights returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Lights has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northern Lights regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Lights etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Lights etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Lights etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northern Lights Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northern Lights' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Lights etf have on its future price. Northern Lights autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Lights autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Lights etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Lights.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Northern Lights
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Northern Lights position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Lights will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Northern Etf
| 0.57 | EOS | Eaton Vance Enhanced | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | TUG | STF Tactical Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | RRH | Advocate Capital Man | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | VBK | Vanguard Small Cap Potential Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | RAAX | VanEck Inflation All | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Northern Lights could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Northern Lights when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Northern Lights - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Northern Lights to buy it.
The correlation of Northern Lights is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Northern Lights moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Northern Lights moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Northern Lights can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Northern Lights Correlation, Northern Lights Volatility and Northern Lights Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Lights. To learn how to invest in Northern Etf, please use our How to Invest in Northern Lights guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Northern Lights technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.