Mondrian Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

MPEMX Fund  USD 7.73  0.08  1.02%   
Mondrian Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Mondrian Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mondrian Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Mondrian Emerging is trading at 7.73 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 1.02 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.81.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mondrian Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mondrian Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Mondrian Emerging Correlation, Mondrian Emerging Volatility and Mondrian Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mondrian Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mondrian Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mondrian Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mondrian Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mondrian Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mondrian Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mondrian Emerging.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mondrian Emerging on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mondrian Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mondrian Emerging over 90 days. Mondrian Emerging is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Growth, Franklin Real, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, and High-yield Municipal. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment p... More

Mondrian Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mondrian Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mondrian Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mondrian Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mondrian Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mondrian Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mondrian Emerging historical prices to predict the future Mondrian Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.807.738.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.077.007.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.707.638.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.637.908.17
Details

Mondrian Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Mondrian Emerging Markets has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0062, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0062% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mondrian Emerging exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mondrian Emerging's Standard Deviation of 0.9395, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.699 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.28, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mondrian Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mondrian Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.88  

Excellent reverse predictability

Mondrian Emerging Markets has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mondrian Emerging time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mondrian Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Mondrian Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.88
Spearman Rank Test-0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Mondrian Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mondrian Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mondrian Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mondrian Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mondrian Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mondrian Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mondrian Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mondrian Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mondrian Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mondrian Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mondrian Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mondrian Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Mondrian Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mondrian Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mondrian Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mondrian Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mondrian Mutual Fund

Mondrian Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mondrian Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mondrian with respect to the benefits of owning Mondrian Emerging security.
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