Royal Canadian Mint Stock Market Value
| MNT-U Stock | USD 27.52 0.06 0.22% |
| Symbol | ROYAL |
Please note, there is a significant difference between ROYAL CANADIAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ROYAL CANADIAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ROYAL CANADIAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
ROYAL CANADIAN 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ROYAL CANADIAN's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ROYAL CANADIAN.
| 11/08/2024 |
| 01/07/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ROYAL CANADIAN on November 8, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ROYAL CANADIAN MINT or generate 0.0% return on investment in ROYAL CANADIAN over 60 days. ROYAL CANADIAN is related to or competes with Canadian General, WELL Health, Westshore Terminals, Economic Investment, Partners Value, and Highwood Asset. More
ROYAL CANADIAN Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ROYAL CANADIAN's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ROYAL CANADIAN MINT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.26 |
ROYAL CANADIAN Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ROYAL CANADIAN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ROYAL CANADIAN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ROYAL CANADIAN historical prices to predict the future ROYAL CANADIAN's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 4.32 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ROYAL CANADIAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ROYAL CANADIAN MINT Backtested Returns
ROYAL CANADIAN MINT maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0716, which implies the firm had a -0.0716% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ROYAL CANADIAN MINT exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check ROYAL CANADIAN's Variance of 2.14, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,397) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0266, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ROYAL CANADIAN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ROYAL CANADIAN is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ROYAL CANADIAN MINT has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to check ROYAL CANADIAN's total risk alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if ROYAL CANADIAN MINT performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Auto-correlation | -0.26 |
Weak reverse predictability
ROYAL CANADIAN MINT has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ROYAL CANADIAN time series from 8th of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 7th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ROYAL CANADIAN MINT price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current ROYAL CANADIAN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
ROYAL CANADIAN MINT lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ROYAL CANADIAN stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ROYAL CANADIAN's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ROYAL CANADIAN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ROYAL CANADIAN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ROYAL CANADIAN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ROYAL CANADIAN stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ROYAL CANADIAN stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ROYAL CANADIAN stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ROYAL CANADIAN Lagged Returns
When evaluating ROYAL CANADIAN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ROYAL CANADIAN stock have on its future price. ROYAL CANADIAN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ROYAL CANADIAN autocorrelation shows the relationship between ROYAL CANADIAN stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ROYAL CANADIAN MINT.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with ROYAL CANADIAN
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ROYAL CANADIAN position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ROYAL CANADIAN will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to ROYAL CANADIAN could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ROYAL CANADIAN when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ROYAL CANADIAN - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ROYAL CANADIAN MINT to buy it.
The correlation of ROYAL CANADIAN is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ROYAL CANADIAN moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ROYAL CANADIAN MINT moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ROYAL CANADIAN can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for ROYAL Stock Analysis
When running ROYAL CANADIAN's price analysis, check to measure ROYAL CANADIAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ROYAL CANADIAN is operating at the current time. Most of ROYAL CANADIAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ROYAL CANADIAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ROYAL CANADIAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ROYAL CANADIAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.