Marsico International Opportunities Fund Market Value

MIIOX Fund  USD 24.97  0.21  0.85%   
Marsico International's market value is the price at which a share of Marsico International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marsico International Opportunities investors about its performance. Marsico International is trading at 24.97 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 0.85 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marsico International Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marsico International over a given investment horizon. Check out Marsico International Correlation, Marsico International Volatility and Marsico International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marsico International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsico International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsico International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsico International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marsico International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marsico International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marsico International.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marsico International on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marsico International Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marsico International over 60 days. Marsico International is related to or competes with Marsico Focus, Marsico 21st, Marsico Global, Marsico Growth, Marsico Midcap, Marsico Global, and Marsico Growth. The fund invests primarily in foreign securities, such as common stocks of foreign companies that are selected for their... More

Marsico International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marsico International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marsico International Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marsico International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marsico International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marsico International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marsico International historical prices to predict the future Marsico International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7924.7625.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.3323.3027.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.8623.8324.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8425.7031.56
Details

Marsico International Backtested Returns

Marsico International has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0018, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0018% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Marsico International exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Marsico International's Downside Deviation of 1.15, risk adjusted performance of 0.0121, and Mean Deviation of 0.7094 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.54, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marsico International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marsico International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Marsico International Opportunities has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marsico International time series from 27th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marsico International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Marsico International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Marsico International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marsico International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marsico International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marsico International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marsico International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marsico International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marsico International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marsico International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marsico International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marsico International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marsico International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marsico International mutual fund have on its future price. Marsico International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marsico International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marsico International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marsico International Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Marsico Mutual Fund

Marsico International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marsico Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marsico with respect to the benefits of owning Marsico International security.
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