Marsico Midcap Growth Fund Market Value

MIDFX Fund  USD 51.17  0.47  0.91%   
Marsico Midcap's market value is the price at which a share of Marsico Midcap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marsico Midcap Growth investors about its performance. Marsico Midcap is trading at 51.17 as of the 25th of December 2024; that is 0.91 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 51.64.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marsico Midcap Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marsico Midcap over a given investment horizon. Check out Marsico Midcap Correlation, Marsico Midcap Volatility and Marsico Midcap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marsico Midcap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsico Midcap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsico Midcap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsico Midcap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marsico Midcap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marsico Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marsico Midcap.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marsico Midcap on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marsico Midcap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marsico Midcap over 60 days. Marsico Midcap is related to or competes with Hodges Fund, Royce Smaller, Marsico International, Marsico Focus, and Kinetics Paradigm. The fund invests primarily in common stocks that are selected for their long-term growth potential More

Marsico Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marsico Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marsico Midcap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marsico Midcap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marsico Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marsico Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marsico Midcap historical prices to predict the future Marsico Midcap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.8851.1752.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.2451.5352.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.7550.0451.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.8954.3973.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marsico Midcap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marsico Midcap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marsico Midcap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marsico Midcap Growth.

Marsico Midcap Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Marsico Mutual Fund to be very steady. Marsico Midcap Growth has Sharpe Ratio of 0.068, which conveys that the entity had a 0.068% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Marsico Midcap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Marsico Midcap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0704, mean deviation of 0.9174, and Downside Deviation of 1.41 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0874%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.34, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marsico Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marsico Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Marsico Midcap Growth has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marsico Midcap time series from 26th of October 2024 to 25th of November 2024 and 25th of November 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marsico Midcap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Marsico Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.18

Marsico Midcap Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marsico Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marsico Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marsico Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marsico Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marsico Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marsico Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marsico Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marsico Midcap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marsico Midcap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marsico Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marsico Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Marsico Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marsico Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marsico Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marsico Midcap Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Marsico Mutual Fund

Marsico Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marsico Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marsico with respect to the benefits of owning Marsico Midcap security.
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