Mgm China Holdings Stock Market Value

MCHVF Stock  USD 1.05  0.00  0.00%   
MGM China's market value is the price at which a share of MGM China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MGM China Holdings investors about its performance. MGM China is trading at 1.05 as of the 14th of December 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MGM China Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MGM China over a given investment horizon. Check out MGM China Correlation, MGM China Volatility and MGM China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MGM China.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between MGM China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MGM China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MGM China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MGM China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MGM China's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MGM China.
0.00
12/20/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MGM China on December 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MGM China Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in MGM China over 360 days. MGM China is related to or competes with Nagacorp, Wynn Macau, SkyCity Entertainment, Century Casinos, and MGM China. MGM China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of gamin... More

MGM China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MGM China's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MGM China Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MGM China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MGM China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MGM China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MGM China historical prices to predict the future MGM China's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MGM China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.058.20
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.018.16
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MGM China Holdings Backtested Returns

At this point, MGM China is abnormally volatile. MGM China Holdings has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0197, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0197% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for MGM China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify MGM China's mean deviation of 1.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.023 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. MGM China has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.6, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MGM China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MGM China is likely to outperform the market. MGM China Holdings currently secures a risk of 7.15%. Please verify MGM China Holdings information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if MGM China Holdings will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.9  

Excellent reverse predictability

MGM China Holdings has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MGM China time series from 20th of December 2023 to 17th of June 2024 and 17th of June 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MGM China Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current MGM China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.9
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

MGM China Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MGM China pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MGM China's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MGM China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MGM China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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MGM China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MGM China pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MGM China pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MGM China pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MGM China Lagged Returns

When evaluating MGM China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MGM China pink sheet have on its future price. MGM China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MGM China autocorrelation shows the relationship between MGM China pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MGM China Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in MGM Pink Sheet

MGM China financial ratios help investors to determine whether MGM Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MGM with respect to the benefits of owning MGM China security.