Miller Vertible Bond Fund Market Value

MCFCX Fund  USD 12.68  0.06  0.48%   
Miller Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Miller Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Miller Vertible Bond investors about its performance. Miller Convertible is trading at 12.68 as of the 6th of January 2025; that is 0.48 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Miller Vertible Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Miller Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Miller Convertible Correlation, Miller Convertible Volatility and Miller Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Miller Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Miller Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Miller Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Miller Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Miller Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Miller Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Miller Convertible.
0.00
01/17/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/06/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Miller Convertible on January 17, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Miller Vertible Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Miller Convertible over 720 days. Miller Convertible is related to or competes with Investec Emerging, Origin Emerging, Kinetics Market, Extended Market, Dunham Emerging, and Oshaughnessy Market. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in convertible bonds More

Miller Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Miller Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Miller Vertible Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Miller Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Miller Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Miller Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Miller Convertible historical prices to predict the future Miller Convertible's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Miller Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3412.6813.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3712.7113.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3812.7213.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5412.6712.81
Details

Miller Vertible Bond Backtested Returns

Miller Vertible Bond has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0169, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0169% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Miller Convertible exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Miller Convertible's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 0.3414, and Mean Deviation of 0.2389 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.31, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Miller Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Miller Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Miller Vertible Bond has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Miller Convertible time series from 17th of January 2023 to 12th of January 2024 and 12th of January 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Miller Vertible Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Miller Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Miller Vertible Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Miller Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Miller Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Miller Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Miller Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Miller Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Miller Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Miller Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Miller Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Miller Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Miller Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Miller Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Miller Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Miller Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Miller Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Miller Vertible Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Miller Mutual Fund

Miller Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Miller Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Miller with respect to the benefits of owning Miller Convertible security.
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