Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy Fund Market Value
| MBXCX Fund | USD 38.70 0.04 0.10% |
| Symbol | Catalystmillburn |
Catalystmillburn 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Catalystmillburn's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Catalystmillburn.
| 12/07/2023 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Catalystmillburn on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Catalystmillburn over 360 days. Catalystmillburn is related to or competes with Firsthand Alternative, Franklin Natural, Short Oil, Goehring Rozencwajg, Energy Services, and World Energy. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in a portfolio comprised of futures contracts, forward and spot contracts, andor options on futures contracts on or related to the following sectors currencies, interest rate instruments, stock indices, metals, energy and agricultural commodities, and equity ETFs, common stocks , intended to capitalize on the non-correlated, long term historical performance of the equities and managed futures asset classes. More
Catalystmillburn Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Catalystmillburn's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.518 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6883 |
Catalystmillburn Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Catalystmillburn's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Catalystmillburn's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Catalystmillburn historical prices to predict the future Catalystmillburn's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.114 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0061 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1401 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catalystmillburn's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catalystmillburn Hedge Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Catalystmillburn Mutual Fund to be very steady. Catalystmillburn Hedge secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the fund had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Catalystmillburn's Mean Deviation of 0.3432, downside deviation of 0.518, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.114 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0998%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Catalystmillburn's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalystmillburn is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.29 |
Weak reverse predictability
Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Catalystmillburn time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Catalystmillburn Hedge price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Catalystmillburn price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.64 |
Catalystmillburn Hedge lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Catalystmillburn mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Catalystmillburn's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Catalystmillburn returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Catalystmillburn has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Catalystmillburn regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Catalystmillburn mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Catalystmillburn mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Catalystmillburn mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Catalystmillburn Lagged Returns
When evaluating Catalystmillburn's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Catalystmillburn mutual fund have on its future price. Catalystmillburn autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Catalystmillburn autocorrelation shows the relationship between Catalystmillburn mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Catalystmillburn Hedge Strategy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Catalystmillburn Mutual Fund
Catalystmillburn financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalystmillburn Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalystmillburn with respect to the benefits of owning Catalystmillburn security.
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