Mfs Servative Allocation Fund Market Value

MACKX Fund  USD 15.86  0.03  0.19%   
Mfs Conservative's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs Conservative trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs Servative Allocation investors about its performance. Mfs Conservative is trading at 15.86 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 0.19% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs Servative Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs Conservative over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs Conservative Correlation, Mfs Conservative Volatility and Mfs Conservative Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs Conservative.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Conservative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Conservative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Conservative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs Conservative 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Conservative's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Conservative.
0.00
02/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Conservative on February 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Servative Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Conservative over 720 days. Mfs Conservative is related to or competes with Pace High, Prudential High, Transamerica High, Virtus High, Jpmorgan High, and Msift High. The fund is designed to provide diversification among different asset classes by investing its assets in other mutual fu... More

Mfs Conservative Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Conservative's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Servative Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Conservative Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Conservative's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Conservative's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Conservative historical prices to predict the future Mfs Conservative's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2615.8616.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3115.9116.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6716.2716.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1916.0316.88
Details

Mfs Servative Allocation Backtested Returns

Mfs Servative Allocation has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0734, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0734 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mfs Conservative exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mfs Conservative's Mean Deviation of 0.3109, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Standard Deviation of 0.5753 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Conservative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Conservative is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.05  

Virtually no predictability

Mfs Servative Allocation has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Conservative time series from 3rd of February 2023 to 29th of January 2024 and 29th of January 2024 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Servative Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Mfs Conservative price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Mfs Servative Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Conservative mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Conservative's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Conservative returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Conservative has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs Conservative regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Conservative mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Conservative mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Conservative mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs Conservative Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs Conservative's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Conservative mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Conservative autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Conservative autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Conservative mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Servative Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Conservative security.
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