Liberty Media Stock Market Value

LLYVA Stock   69.53  0.82  1.17%   
Liberty Media's market value is the price at which a share of Liberty Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Liberty Media investors about its performance. Liberty Media is trading at 69.53 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 1.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 70.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Liberty Media and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Liberty Media over a given investment horizon. Check out Liberty Media Correlation, Liberty Media Volatility and Liberty Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Liberty Media.
For information on how to trade Liberty Stock refer to our How to Trade Liberty Stock guide.
Symbol

Liberty Media Company Valuation

Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Media. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.51)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Liberty Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Liberty Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Liberty Media's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Liberty Media.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Liberty Media on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Liberty Media or generate 0.0% return on investment in Liberty Media over 30 days. Liberty Media is related to or competes with News Corp, Fox Corp, Liberty Media, AMC Networks, Marcus, Madison Square, and Liberty Media. Liberty Media is entity of United States More

Liberty Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Liberty Media's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Liberty Media upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Liberty Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Liberty Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Liberty Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Liberty Media historical prices to predict the future Liberty Media's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.6468.8070.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.9165.0776.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.5466.7168.87
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.9656.0062.16
Details

Liberty Media Backtested Returns

Liberty Media appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Liberty Media has Sharpe Ratio of 0.43, which conveys that the firm had a 0.43% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Liberty Media's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.93% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Liberty Media's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3225, coefficient of variation of 228.69, and Mean Deviation of 1.39 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Liberty Media holds a performance score of 33. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.97, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Liberty Media returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Liberty Media is expected to follow. Please check Liberty Media's standard deviation, downside variance, day median price, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Liberty Media's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Liberty Media has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Liberty Media time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Liberty Media price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Liberty Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.61

Liberty Media lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Liberty Media stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Liberty Media's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Liberty Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Liberty Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Liberty Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Liberty Media stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Liberty Media stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Liberty Media stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Liberty Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating Liberty Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Liberty Media stock have on its future price. Liberty Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Liberty Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Liberty Media stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Liberty Media.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Liberty Media is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Liberty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Liberty Media Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Liberty Media Stock:
Check out Liberty Media Correlation, Liberty Media Volatility and Liberty Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Liberty Media.
For information on how to trade Liberty Stock refer to our How to Trade Liberty Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Liberty Media technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Liberty Media technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Liberty Media trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...