LLOYDS METALS (India) Market Value

LLOYDSME   1,040  70.80  7.31%   
LLOYDS METALS's market value is the price at which a share of LLOYDS METALS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LLOYDS METALS AND investors about its performance. LLOYDS METALS is selling at 1039.50 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 7.31% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 972.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LLOYDS METALS AND and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LLOYDS METALS over a given investment horizon. Check out LLOYDS METALS Correlation, LLOYDS METALS Volatility and LLOYDS METALS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LLOYDS METALS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LLOYDS METALS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LLOYDS METALS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LLOYDS METALS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LLOYDS METALS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LLOYDS METALS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LLOYDS METALS.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LLOYDS METALS on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LLOYDS METALS AND or generate 0.0% return on investment in LLOYDS METALS over 180 days. LLOYDS METALS is related to or competes with JSW Steel, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel, Jindal Stainless, APL Apollo, Ratnamani Metals, and KIOCL. LLOYDS METALS is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

LLOYDS METALS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LLOYDS METALS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LLOYDS METALS AND upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LLOYDS METALS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LLOYDS METALS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LLOYDS METALS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LLOYDS METALS historical prices to predict the future LLOYDS METALS's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LLOYDS METALS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0291,0311,143
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
935.551,1361,138
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0251,0271,030
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
883.62965.821,048
Details

LLOYDS METALS AND Backtested Returns

LLOYDS METALS appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. LLOYDS METALS AND has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. By inspecting LLOYDS METALS's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise LLOYDS METALS's risk adjusted performance of 0.1503, and Mean Deviation of 1.8 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, LLOYDS METALS holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.75, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, LLOYDS METALS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LLOYDS METALS is expected to be smaller as well. Please check LLOYDS METALS's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether LLOYDS METALS's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

LLOYDS METALS AND has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LLOYDS METALS time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LLOYDS METALS AND price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current LLOYDS METALS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7120.4

LLOYDS METALS AND lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LLOYDS METALS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LLOYDS METALS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LLOYDS METALS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LLOYDS METALS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

LLOYDS METALS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LLOYDS METALS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LLOYDS METALS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LLOYDS METALS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

LLOYDS METALS Lagged Returns

When evaluating LLOYDS METALS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LLOYDS METALS stock have on its future price. LLOYDS METALS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LLOYDS METALS autocorrelation shows the relationship between LLOYDS METALS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LLOYDS METALS AND.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in LLOYDS Stock

LLOYDS METALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether LLOYDS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LLOYDS with respect to the benefits of owning LLOYDS METALS security.