Liontown Resources (Germany) Market Value

LIS Stock  EUR 0.46  0.02  4.17%   
Liontown Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Liontown Resources trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Liontown Resources Limited investors about its performance. Liontown Resources is trading at 0.46 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 4.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Liontown Resources Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Liontown Resources over a given investment horizon. Check out Liontown Resources Correlation, Liontown Resources Volatility and Liontown Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Liontown Resources.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Liontown Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liontown Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liontown Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Liontown Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Liontown Resources' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Liontown Resources.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Liontown Resources on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Liontown Resources Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Liontown Resources over 30 days. Liontown Resources is related to or competes with Hitachi Construction, Vulcan Materials, AGRICULTBK HADR/25, EAGLE MATERIALS, North American, Goodyear Tire, and GOODYEAR T. Liontown Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia More

Liontown Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Liontown Resources' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Liontown Resources Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Liontown Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Liontown Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Liontown Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Liontown Resources historical prices to predict the future Liontown Resources' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0015.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0015.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4315.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.450.480.52
Details

Liontown Resources Backtested Returns

Liontown Resources appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Liontown Resources has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0615, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0615% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Liontown Resources' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.93% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Liontown Resources' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0559, downside deviation of 16.85, and Mean Deviation of 5.5 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Liontown Resources holds a performance score of 4. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -1.08, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Liontown Resources are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Liontown Resources is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check Liontown Resources' total risk alpha, value at risk, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Liontown Resources' current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Liontown Resources Limited has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Liontown Resources time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Liontown Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Liontown Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Liontown Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Liontown Resources stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Liontown Resources' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Liontown Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Liontown Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Liontown Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Liontown Resources stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Liontown Resources stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Liontown Resources stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Liontown Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Liontown Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Liontown Resources stock have on its future price. Liontown Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Liontown Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Liontown Resources stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Liontown Resources Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Liontown Stock

Liontown Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liontown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liontown with respect to the benefits of owning Liontown Resources security.