Legg Mason Global Fund Market Value

LFLCX Fund  USD 9.59  0.03  0.31%   
Legg Mason's market value is the price at which a share of Legg Mason trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Legg Mason Global investors about its performance. Legg Mason is trading at 9.59 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.31 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Legg Mason Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Legg Mason over a given investment horizon. Check out Legg Mason Correlation, Legg Mason Volatility and Legg Mason Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Legg Mason.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Legg Mason's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Legg Mason is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Legg Mason's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Legg Mason 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Legg Mason's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Legg Mason.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Legg Mason on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Legg Mason Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in Legg Mason over 180 days. Legg Mason is related to or competes with Dreyfusstandish Global, Morningstar Global, Franklin Mutual, and Ab Global. Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in fixed income securities or... More

Legg Mason Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Legg Mason's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Legg Mason Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Legg Mason Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Legg Mason's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Legg Mason's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Legg Mason historical prices to predict the future Legg Mason's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Legg Mason's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.359.599.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.599.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.369.609.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.449.519.59
Details

Legg Mason Global Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Legg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Legg Mason Global has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0289, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0289% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Legg Mason, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Legg Mason's Downside Deviation of 0.2446, mean deviation of 0.1798, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0068%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0143, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Legg Mason's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Legg Mason is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Legg Mason Global has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Legg Mason time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Legg Mason Global price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Legg Mason price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Legg Mason Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Legg Mason mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Legg Mason's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Legg Mason returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Legg Mason has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Legg Mason regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Legg Mason mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Legg Mason mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Legg Mason mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Legg Mason Lagged Returns

When evaluating Legg Mason's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Legg Mason mutual fund have on its future price. Legg Mason autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Legg Mason autocorrelation shows the relationship between Legg Mason mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Legg Mason Global.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Legg Mutual Fund

Legg Mason financial ratios help investors to determine whether Legg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Legg with respect to the benefits of owning Legg Mason security.
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