VIVA WINE (Germany) Market Value
| KY1 Stock | 3.69 0.12 3.15% |
| Symbol | VIVA |
Please note, there is a significant difference between VIVA WINE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VIVA WINE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VIVA WINE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
VIVA WINE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VIVA WINE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VIVA WINE.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in VIVA WINE on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VIVA WINE GROUP or generate 0.0% return on investment in VIVA WINE over 90 days. VIVA WINE is related to or competes with PPHE HOTEL, MIRAMAR HOTEL, Wyndham Hotels, BOSTON BEER, and MOLSON COORS. More
VIVA WINE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VIVA WINE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VIVA WINE GROUP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1426 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 |
VIVA WINE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VIVA WINE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VIVA WINE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VIVA WINE historical prices to predict the future VIVA WINE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0793 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1079 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3544 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1529 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.50) |
VIVA WINE GROUP Backtested Returns
At this point, VIVA WINE is slightly risky. VIVA WINE GROUP owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0782, which indicates the firm had a 0.0782 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for VIVA WINE GROUP, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate VIVA WINE's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793, coefficient of variation of 1171.35, and Semi Deviation of 1.42 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. VIVA WINE has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VIVA WINE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VIVA WINE is likely to outperform the market. VIVA WINE GROUP presently has a risk of 1.75%. Please validate VIVA WINE value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if VIVA WINE will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
VIVA WINE GROUP has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VIVA WINE time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VIVA WINE GROUP price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current VIVA WINE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
VIVA WINE GROUP lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is VIVA WINE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VIVA WINE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VIVA WINE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VIVA WINE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
VIVA WINE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VIVA WINE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VIVA WINE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VIVA WINE stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
VIVA WINE Lagged Returns
When evaluating VIVA WINE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VIVA WINE stock have on its future price. VIVA WINE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VIVA WINE autocorrelation shows the relationship between VIVA WINE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VIVA WINE GROUP.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in VIVA Stock
VIVA WINE financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIVA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIVA with respect to the benefits of owning VIVA WINE security.