ADHI KARYA (Germany) Market Value

KM6 Stock  EUR 0.02  0.0005  2.86%   
ADHI KARYA's market value is the price at which a share of ADHI KARYA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ADHI KARYA investors about its performance. ADHI KARYA is trading at 0.017 as of the 20th of January 2025, a 2.86% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.015.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ADHI KARYA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ADHI KARYA over a given investment horizon. Check out ADHI KARYA Correlation, ADHI KARYA Volatility and ADHI KARYA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ADHI KARYA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ADHI KARYA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADHI KARYA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADHI KARYA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ADHI KARYA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ADHI KARYA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ADHI KARYA.
0.00
12/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ADHI KARYA on December 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ADHI KARYA or generate 0.0% return on investment in ADHI KARYA over 30 days. ADHI KARYA is related to or competes with Pentair Plc, Strategic Education, Corsair Gaming, Adtalem Global, SOGECLAIR, DELTA AIR, and Laureate Education. More

ADHI KARYA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ADHI KARYA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ADHI KARYA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ADHI KARYA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ADHI KARYA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ADHI KARYA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ADHI KARYA historical prices to predict the future ADHI KARYA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.024.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.024.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.024.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details

ADHI KARYA Backtested Returns

ADHI KARYA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0543, which signifies that the company had a -0.0543 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ADHI KARYA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ADHI KARYA's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), mean deviation of 2.57, and Standard Deviation of 4.63 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.41, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ADHI KARYA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ADHI KARYA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ADHI KARYA has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm ADHI KARYA's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if ADHI KARYA performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

ADHI KARYA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ADHI KARYA time series from 21st of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025 and 5th of January 2025 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ADHI KARYA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current ADHI KARYA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

ADHI KARYA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ADHI KARYA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ADHI KARYA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ADHI KARYA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ADHI KARYA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ADHI KARYA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ADHI KARYA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ADHI KARYA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ADHI KARYA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ADHI KARYA Lagged Returns

When evaluating ADHI KARYA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ADHI KARYA stock have on its future price. ADHI KARYA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ADHI KARYA autocorrelation shows the relationship between ADHI KARYA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ADHI KARYA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ADHI Stock

ADHI KARYA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ADHI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ADHI with respect to the benefits of owning ADHI KARYA security.