KILIMA VOLKANO (Brazil) Market Value

KIVO11 Fund   57.14  0.04  0.07%   
KILIMA VOLKANO's market value is the price at which a share of KILIMA VOLKANO trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS investors about its performance. KILIMA VOLKANO is trading at 57.14 as of the 14th of December 2024, a 0.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 57.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in KILIMA VOLKANO over a given investment horizon. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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KILIMA VOLKANO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KILIMA VOLKANO's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KILIMA VOLKANO.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in KILIMA VOLKANO on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS or generate 0.0% return on investment in KILIMA VOLKANO over 30 days.

KILIMA VOLKANO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KILIMA VOLKANO's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

KILIMA VOLKANO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KILIMA VOLKANO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KILIMA VOLKANO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KILIMA VOLKANO historical prices to predict the future KILIMA VOLKANO's volatility.

KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS Backtested Returns

KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS has Sharpe Ratio of -0.22, which conveys that the entity had a -0.22% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. KILIMA VOLKANO exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify KILIMA VOLKANO's mean deviation of 1.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning KILIMA VOLKANO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, KILIMA VOLKANO is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KILIMA VOLKANO time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current KILIMA VOLKANO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.91

KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is KILIMA VOLKANO fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KILIMA VOLKANO's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KILIMA VOLKANO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KILIMA VOLKANO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

KILIMA VOLKANO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KILIMA VOLKANO fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KILIMA VOLKANO fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KILIMA VOLKANO fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

KILIMA VOLKANO Lagged Returns

When evaluating KILIMA VOLKANO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KILIMA VOLKANO fund have on its future price. KILIMA VOLKANO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KILIMA VOLKANO autocorrelation shows the relationship between KILIMA VOLKANO fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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