Deutsche Global Small Fund Market Value

KGDIX Fund  USD 30.39  1.88  5.83%   
Deutsche Global's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Global Small investors about its performance. Deutsche Global is trading at 30.39 as of the 25th of December 2024; that is 5.83 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 32.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Global Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Global Correlation, Deutsche Global Volatility and Deutsche Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Global.
0.00
06/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Global on June 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Global Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Global over 180 days. Deutsche Global is related to or competes with Origin Emerging, Shelton Emerging, Siit Emerging, Aqr Long, Calvert Developed, Locorr Market, and Rbc Emerging. The fund invests at least 80 percent of net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in common stocks and other equities of small companies throughout the world . More

Deutsche Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Global Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Global historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2030.3931.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4627.6533.43
Details

Deutsche Global Small Backtested Returns

Deutsche Global Small secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the fund had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Deutsche Global Small exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Deutsche Global's Standard Deviation of 1.18, mean deviation of 0.7727, and Variance of 1.39 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0659, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Deutsche Global Small has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Global time series from 28th of June 2024 to 26th of September 2024 and 26th of September 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Global Small price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Deutsche Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.88

Deutsche Global Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Global mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Global Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Global security.
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