James Alpha Managed Fund Market Value

JDSEX Fund  USD 14.08  0.09  0.64%   
James Alpha's market value is the price at which a share of James Alpha trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of James Alpha Managed investors about its performance. James Alpha is trading at 14.08 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.64 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of James Alpha Managed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in James Alpha over a given investment horizon. Check out James Alpha Correlation, James Alpha Volatility and James Alpha Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on James Alpha.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between James Alpha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if James Alpha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, James Alpha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

James Alpha 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to James Alpha's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of James Alpha.
0.00
12/18/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in James Alpha on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding James Alpha Managed or generate 0.0% return on investment in James Alpha over 360 days. James Alpha is related to or competes with Pgim Jennison, Towpath Technology, Vanguard Information, Allianzgi Technology, Red Oak, Goldman Sachs, and Biotechnology Ultrasector. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of U.S More

James Alpha Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure James Alpha's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess James Alpha Managed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

James Alpha Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for James Alpha's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as James Alpha's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use James Alpha historical prices to predict the future James Alpha's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of James Alpha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5613.9914.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5013.9314.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.6314.0514.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8814.0114.14
Details

James Alpha Managed Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider James Mutual Fund to be very steady. James Alpha Managed holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.19, which attests that the entity had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for James Alpha Managed, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out James Alpha's Downside Deviation of 0.4877, risk adjusted performance of 0.1581, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1979 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0806%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.47, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, James Alpha's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding James Alpha is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

James Alpha Managed has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between James Alpha time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of James Alpha Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current James Alpha price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.91
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

James Alpha Managed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is James Alpha mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting James Alpha's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of James Alpha returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that James Alpha has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

James Alpha regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If James Alpha mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if James Alpha mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in James Alpha mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

James Alpha Lagged Returns

When evaluating James Alpha's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of James Alpha mutual fund have on its future price. James Alpha autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, James Alpha autocorrelation shows the relationship between James Alpha mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in James Alpha Managed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in James Mutual Fund

James Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether James Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in James with respect to the benefits of owning James Alpha security.
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