China Shenhua (Germany) Market Value
| IKF Stock | EUR 4.12 0.02 0.48% |
| Symbol | China |
China Shenhua 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Shenhua's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Shenhua.
| 12/19/2023 |
| 12/13/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in China Shenhua on December 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Shenhua Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Shenhua over 360 days. China Shenhua is related to or competes with PT Bayan, Yanzhou Coal, Yanzhou Coal, PT Adaro, Yancoal Australia, and Peabody Energy. China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal, power, railway, port, shipping, a... More
China Shenhua Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Shenhua's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Shenhua Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0652 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.73) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.77 |
China Shenhua Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Shenhua's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Shenhua's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Shenhua historical prices to predict the future China Shenhua's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.081 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2605 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0622 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.689 |
China Shenhua Energy Backtested Returns
China Shenhua appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. China Shenhua Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for China Shenhua Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of China Shenhua's Mean Deviation of 2.17, downside deviation of 3.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.081 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, China Shenhua holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, China Shenhua's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Shenhua is expected to be smaller as well. Please check China Shenhua's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether China Shenhua's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.43 |
Average predictability
China Shenhua Energy has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Shenhua time series from 19th of December 2023 to 16th of June 2024 and 16th of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Shenhua Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current China Shenhua price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.43 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.23 |
China Shenhua Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is China Shenhua stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Shenhua's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Shenhua returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Shenhua has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
China Shenhua regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Shenhua stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Shenhua stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Shenhua stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
China Shenhua Lagged Returns
When evaluating China Shenhua's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Shenhua stock have on its future price. China Shenhua autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Shenhua autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Shenhua stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Shenhua Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Shenhua financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Shenhua security.