Industrias (Mexico) Market Value

ICHB Stock  MXN 180.00  4.10  2.23%   
Industrias' market value is the price at which a share of Industrias trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Industrias CH S investors about its performance. Industrias is trading at 180.00 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 2.23 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 184.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Industrias CH S and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Industrias over a given investment horizon. Check out Industrias Correlation, Industrias Volatility and Industrias Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Industrias.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Industrias' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Industrias is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Industrias' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Industrias 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Industrias' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Industrias.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Industrias on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Industrias CH S or generate 0.0% return on investment in Industrias over 30 days. Industrias is related to or competes with Pea Verde, Farmacias Benavides, Alfa SAB, Southern Copper, Organizacin Soriana, G Collado, and Compaa Minera. V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and processing of steel in Mexico and North America More

Industrias Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Industrias' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Industrias CH S upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Industrias Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Industrias' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Industrias' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Industrias historical prices to predict the future Industrias' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
178.85180.00181.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.65179.80180.95
Details

Industrias CH S Backtested Returns

Industrias CH S holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0524, which attests that the entity had a -0.0524% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Industrias CH S exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Industrias' Standard Deviation of 1.08, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.26) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Industrias' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Industrias is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Industrias CH S has a negative expected return of -0.0604%. Please make sure to check out Industrias' variance, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and information ratio , to decide if Industrias CH S performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Industrias CH S has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Industrias time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Industrias CH S price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Industrias price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.67

Industrias CH S lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Industrias stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Industrias' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Industrias returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Industrias has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Industrias regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Industrias stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Industrias stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Industrias stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Industrias Lagged Returns

When evaluating Industrias' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Industrias stock have on its future price. Industrias autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Industrias autocorrelation shows the relationship between Industrias stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Industrias CH S.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Industrias Stock Analysis

When running Industrias' price analysis, check to measure Industrias' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrias is operating at the current time. Most of Industrias' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrias' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrias' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrias to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.