International Business (Germany) Market Value
| IBM Stock | EUR 227.45 3.10 1.38% |
| Symbol | International |
International Business 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Business' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Business.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in International Business on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Business Machines or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Business over 90 days. International Business is related to or competes with Sumitomo Mitsui, Dairy Farm, OFFICE DEPOT, AUST AGRICULTURAL, Tokyu Construction, and Corporate Office. International Business Machines Corporation operates as an integrated technology and services company worldwide More
International Business Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Business' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Business Machines upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0675 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.73) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.14 |
International Business Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Business' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Business' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Business historical prices to predict the future International Business' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0244 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0479 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3035 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0906 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3113 |
International Business Backtested Returns
At this point, International Business is very steady. International Business holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0469, which attests that the entity had a 0.0469 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for International Business, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out International Business' Downside Deviation of 1.6, market risk adjusted performance of 0.3213, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0244 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. International Business has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, International Business' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding International Business is expected to be smaller as well. International Business right now retains a risk of 2.21%. Please check out International Business sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if International Business will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.42 |
Modest reverse predictability
International Business Machines has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Business time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Business price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current International Business price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 40.15 |
International Business lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is International Business stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Business' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Business returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Business has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
International Business regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Business stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Business stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Business stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
International Business Lagged Returns
When evaluating International Business' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Business stock have on its future price. International Business autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Business autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Business stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Business Machines.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in International Stock
When determining whether International Business is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Business' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Business' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out International Business Correlation, International Business Volatility and International Business Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Business. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
International Business technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.