Infosys (Brazil) Market Value

I1FO34 Stock  BRL 70.84  0.42  0.60%   
Infosys' market value is the price at which a share of Infosys trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Infosys Limited investors about its performance. Infosys is trading at 70.84 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 0.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 70.42.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Infosys Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Infosys over a given investment horizon. Check out Infosys Correlation, Infosys Volatility and Infosys Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Infosys.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Infosys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Infosys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infosys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Infosys 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Infosys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Infosys.
0.00
12/17/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Infosys on December 17, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Infosys Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Infosys over 360 days. Infosys is related to or competes with Monster Beverage, United Airlines, Unity Software, NXP Semiconductors, Paycom Software, Take Two, and Lupatech. More

Infosys Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Infosys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Infosys Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Infosys Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Infosys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Infosys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Infosys historical prices to predict the future Infosys' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.8670.8472.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.2457.2277.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.3370.3172.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.5065.4671.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infosys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infosys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infosys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Infosys Limited.

Infosys Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, Infosys is very steady. Infosys Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0829, which attests that the entity had a 0.0829% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Infosys Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Infosys' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.11), risk adjusted performance of 0.0568, and Downside Deviation of 2.79 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Infosys has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0409, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Infosys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Infosys is likely to outperform the market. Infosys Limited right now retains a risk of 1.96%. Please check out Infosys coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to decide if Infosys will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Infosys Limited has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Infosys time series from 17th of December 2023 to 14th of June 2024 and 14th of June 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Infosys Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Infosys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.58

Infosys Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Infosys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Infosys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Infosys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Infosys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Infosys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Infosys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Infosys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Infosys stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Infosys Lagged Returns

When evaluating Infosys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Infosys stock have on its future price. Infosys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Infosys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Infosys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Infosys Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Infosys Stock

Infosys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Infosys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Infosys with respect to the benefits of owning Infosys security.