Hrvatska Postanska (Croatia) Market Value

HPB Stock   292.00  6.00  2.10%   
Hrvatska Postanska's market value is the price at which a share of Hrvatska Postanska trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hrvatska Postanska Banka investors about its performance. Hrvatska Postanska is trading at 292.00 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 2.10% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 292.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hrvatska Postanska Banka and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hrvatska Postanska over a given investment horizon. Check out Hrvatska Postanska Correlation, Hrvatska Postanska Volatility and Hrvatska Postanska Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hrvatska Postanska.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Hrvatska Postanska's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hrvatska Postanska is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hrvatska Postanska's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hrvatska Postanska 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hrvatska Postanska's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hrvatska Postanska.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hrvatska Postanska on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hrvatska Postanska Banka or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hrvatska Postanska over 90 days. Hrvatska Postanska is related to or competes with Zagrebacka Banka, AD Plastik, Dalekovod, and Podravka Prehrambena. More

Hrvatska Postanska Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hrvatska Postanska's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hrvatska Postanska Banka upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hrvatska Postanska Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hrvatska Postanska's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hrvatska Postanska's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hrvatska Postanska historical prices to predict the future Hrvatska Postanska's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
290.26292.00293.74
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
251.94253.68321.20
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hrvatska Postanska. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hrvatska Postanska's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hrvatska Postanska's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hrvatska Postanska Banka.

Hrvatska Postanska Banka Backtested Returns

Hrvatska Postanska Banka holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.13, which attests that the entity had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hrvatska Postanska Banka exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hrvatska Postanska's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1011, risk adjusted performance of (0.0005), and Standard Deviation of 1.91 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.25, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hrvatska Postanska are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hrvatska Postanska is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Hrvatska Postanska Banka has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to check out Hrvatska Postanska's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Hrvatska Postanska Banka performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Hrvatska Postanska Banka has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hrvatska Postanska time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hrvatska Postanska Banka price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Hrvatska Postanska price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance98.44

Hrvatska Postanska Banka lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hrvatska Postanska stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hrvatska Postanska's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hrvatska Postanska returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hrvatska Postanska has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Hrvatska Postanska regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hrvatska Postanska stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hrvatska Postanska stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hrvatska Postanska stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hrvatska Postanska Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hrvatska Postanska's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hrvatska Postanska stock have on its future price. Hrvatska Postanska autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hrvatska Postanska autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hrvatska Postanska stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hrvatska Postanska Banka.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hrvatska Stock

Hrvatska Postanska financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hrvatska Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hrvatska with respect to the benefits of owning Hrvatska Postanska security.