Henderson Land Development Stock Market Value

HLDCY Stock  USD 2.67  0.02  0.75%   
Henderson Land's market value is the price at which a share of Henderson Land trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Henderson Land Development investors about its performance. Henderson Land is trading at 2.67 as of the 18th of February 2025; that is 0.75 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Henderson Land Development and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Henderson Land over a given investment horizon. Check out Henderson Land Correlation, Henderson Land Volatility and Henderson Land Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Henderson Land.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Henderson Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henderson Land is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henderson Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Henderson Land 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Henderson Land's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Henderson Land.
0.00
01/19/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/18/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Henderson Land on January 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Henderson Land Development or generate 0.0% return on investment in Henderson Land over 30 days. Henderson Land is related to or competes with Hang Lung, Sun Hung, Hong Kong, New World, and Swire Pacific. Henderson Land Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and inves... More

Henderson Land Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Henderson Land's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Henderson Land Development upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Henderson Land Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Henderson Land's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Henderson Land's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Henderson Land historical prices to predict the future Henderson Land's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Henderson Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.052.674.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.202.824.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.982.604.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.632.732.83
Details

Henderson Land Devel Backtested Returns

Henderson Land Devel holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Henderson Land Devel exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Henderson Land's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), standard deviation of 1.64, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.62) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Henderson Land's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Henderson Land is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Henderson Land Devel has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to check out Henderson Land's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Henderson Land Devel performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Henderson Land Development has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Henderson Land time series from 19th of January 2025 to 3rd of February 2025 and 3rd of February 2025 to 18th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Henderson Land Devel price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Henderson Land price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Henderson Land Devel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Henderson Land pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Henderson Land's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Henderson Land returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Henderson Land has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Henderson Land regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Henderson Land pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Henderson Land pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Henderson Land pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Henderson Land Lagged Returns

When evaluating Henderson Land's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Henderson Land pink sheet have on its future price. Henderson Land autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Henderson Land autocorrelation shows the relationship between Henderson Land pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Henderson Land Development.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Henderson Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Henderson Land's price analysis, check to measure Henderson Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Henderson Land is operating at the current time. Most of Henderson Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Henderson Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Henderson Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Henderson Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.