Hodges Fund Retail Fund Market Value

HDPMX Fund  USD 79.44  0.17  0.21%   
Hodges Fund's market value is the price at which a share of Hodges Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hodges Fund Retail investors about its performance. Hodges Fund is trading at 79.44 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.21 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 79.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hodges Fund Retail and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hodges Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out Hodges Fund Correlation, Hodges Fund Volatility and Hodges Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hodges Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hodges Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hodges Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hodges Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hodges Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hodges Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hodges Fund.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hodges Fund on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hodges Fund Retail or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hodges Fund over 30 days. Hodges Fund is related to or competes with Marsico 21st, Kinetics Paradigm, Royce Smaller-companie, Polaris Global, and Wasatch Large. The fund invests in common stocks of companies of any size market capitalization- small, medium or large More

Hodges Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hodges Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hodges Fund Retail upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hodges Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hodges Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hodges Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hodges Fund historical prices to predict the future Hodges Fund's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.1279.4480.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5083.7885.10
Details

Hodges Fund Retail Backtested Returns

Hodges Fund appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hodges Fund Retail holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.31, which attests that the entity had a 0.31% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Hodges Fund Retail, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Hodges Fund's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2137, risk adjusted performance of 0.1767, and Downside Deviation of 1.46 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.53, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hodges Fund will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.97  

Excellent predictability

Hodges Fund Retail has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hodges Fund time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hodges Fund Retail price movement. The serial correlation of 0.97 indicates that 97.0% of current Hodges Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.97
Spearman Rank Test0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.3

Hodges Fund Retail lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hodges Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hodges Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hodges Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hodges Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hodges Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hodges Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hodges Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hodges Fund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hodges Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hodges Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hodges Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Hodges Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hodges Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hodges Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hodges Fund Retail.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hodges Mutual Fund

Hodges Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hodges Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hodges with respect to the benefits of owning Hodges Fund security.
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