Habib Sugar (Pakistan) Market Value

HABSM Stock   66.75  0.44  0.65%   
Habib Sugar's market value is the price at which a share of Habib Sugar trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Habib Sugar Mills investors about its performance. Habib Sugar is selling for 66.75 as of the 16th of February 2025. This is a 0.65 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 66.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Habib Sugar Mills and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Habib Sugar over a given investment horizon. Check out Habib Sugar Correlation, Habib Sugar Volatility and Habib Sugar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Habib Sugar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Habib Sugar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Habib Sugar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Habib Sugar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Habib Sugar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Habib Sugar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Habib Sugar.
0.00
02/27/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
02/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Habib Sugar on February 27, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Habib Sugar Mills or generate 0.0% return on investment in Habib Sugar over 720 days. Habib Sugar is related to or competes with Masood Textile, Fauji Foods, KSB Pumps, Mari Petroleum, Loads, Thatta Cement, and KOT Addu. More

Habib Sugar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Habib Sugar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Habib Sugar Mills upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Habib Sugar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Habib Sugar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Habib Sugar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Habib Sugar historical prices to predict the future Habib Sugar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.1666.7569.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1159.7073.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.5765.1667.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.2768.0270.77
Details

Habib Sugar Mills Backtested Returns

Habib Sugar Mills holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Habib Sugar Mills exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Habib Sugar's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0362, downside deviation of 2.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0125 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Habib Sugar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Habib Sugar is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Habib Sugar Mills has a negative expected return of -0.0025%. Please make sure to check out Habib Sugar's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Habib Sugar Mills performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Habib Sugar Mills has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Habib Sugar time series from 27th of February 2023 to 22nd of February 2024 and 22nd of February 2024 to 16th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Habib Sugar Mills price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Habib Sugar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance25.51
Habib ReturnsHabib Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayHabib ReturnsHabib Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Habib Sugar Mills lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Habib Sugar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Habib Sugar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Habib Sugar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Habib Sugar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Habib Sugar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Habib Sugar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Habib Sugar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Habib Sugar stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MarMayJulSepNov2025203040506070
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Habib Sugar Lagged Returns

When evaluating Habib Sugar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Habib Sugar stock have on its future price. Habib Sugar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Habib Sugar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Habib Sugar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Habib Sugar Mills.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AprJulOct2024AprJulOct2025304050607080
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Habib Sugar

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Habib Sugar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Habib Sugar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Habib Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Habib Sugar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Habib Sugar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Habib Sugar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Habib Sugar Mills to buy it.
The correlation of Habib Sugar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Habib Sugar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Habib Sugar Mills moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Habib Sugar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Habib Stock

Habib Sugar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Habib Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Habib with respect to the benefits of owning Habib Sugar security.

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