Alphabet (Mexico) Market Value

GOOG Stock  MXN 3,456  43.90  1.25%   
Alphabet's market value is the price at which a share of Alphabet trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alphabet Inc investors about its performance. Alphabet is trading at 3456.20 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 1.25 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3500.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alphabet Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alphabet over a given investment horizon. Check out Alphabet Correlation, Alphabet Volatility and Alphabet Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alphabet.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphabet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alphabet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphabet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alphabet 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alphabet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alphabet.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alphabet on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alphabet Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alphabet over 30 days. Alphabet is related to or competes with Alphabet, Baidu. Alphabet Inc. provides online advertising services in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacif... More

Alphabet Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alphabet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alphabet Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alphabet Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alphabet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alphabet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alphabet historical prices to predict the future Alphabet's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,4543,4563,458
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,4163,4183,802
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,2833,2853,286
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,3783,5073,635
Details

Alphabet Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Alphabet Stock to be very steady. Alphabet secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0586, which signifies that the company had a 0.0586% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Alphabet Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alphabet's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0432, downside deviation of 2.06, and Mean Deviation of 1.37 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Alphabet has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.65, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alphabet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alphabet is expected to be smaller as well. Alphabet right now shows a risk of 1.8%. Please confirm Alphabet jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Alphabet will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Alphabet Inc has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alphabet time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alphabet price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Alphabet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4180.7

Alphabet lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alphabet stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alphabet's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alphabet returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alphabet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alphabet regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alphabet stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alphabet stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alphabet stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alphabet Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alphabet's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alphabet stock have on its future price. Alphabet autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alphabet autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alphabet stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alphabet Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alphabet Stock Analysis

When running Alphabet's price analysis, check to measure Alphabet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alphabet is operating at the current time. Most of Alphabet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alphabet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alphabet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alphabet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.