UBS ETF (Germany) Market Value

GGUE Etf  EUR 23.24  0.17  0.74%   
UBS ETF's market value is the price at which a share of UBS ETF trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UBS ETF Public investors about its performance. UBS ETF is trading at 23.24 as of the 15th of December 2024. This is a 0.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 23.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UBS ETF Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in UBS ETF over a given investment horizon. Check out UBS ETF Correlation, UBS ETF Volatility and UBS ETF Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on UBS ETF.
For more detail on how to invest in UBS Etf please use our How to Invest in UBS ETF guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between UBS ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UBS ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UBS ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

UBS ETF 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to UBS ETF's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of UBS ETF.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in UBS ETF on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UBS ETF Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in UBS ETF over 30 days. UBS ETF is related to or competes with UBS Fund, Xtrackers, Xtrackers Nikkei, IShares VII, SPDR Gold, Vanguard Funds, and IShares Nikkei. UBSETF GL is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany. More

UBS ETF Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure UBS ETF's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UBS ETF Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

UBS ETF Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for UBS ETF's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as UBS ETF's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use UBS ETF historical prices to predict the future UBS ETF's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UBS ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6123.2423.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5023.1323.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.0222.6423.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0423.3123.58
Details

UBS ETF Public Backtested Returns

At this point, UBS ETF is very steady. UBS ETF Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the etf had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for UBS ETF Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please validate UBS ETF's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0992, market risk adjusted performance of 1.31, and Downside Deviation of 0.5955 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.07%. The entity has a beta of 0.0587, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, UBS ETF's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding UBS ETF is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

UBS ETF Public has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between UBS ETF time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UBS ETF Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current UBS ETF price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

UBS ETF Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is UBS ETF etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting UBS ETF's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of UBS ETF returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that UBS ETF has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

UBS ETF regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If UBS ETF etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if UBS ETF etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in UBS ETF etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

UBS ETF Lagged Returns

When evaluating UBS ETF's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of UBS ETF etf have on its future price. UBS ETF autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, UBS ETF autocorrelation shows the relationship between UBS ETF etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UBS ETF Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in UBS Etf

UBS ETF financial ratios help investors to determine whether UBS Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UBS with respect to the benefits of owning UBS ETF security.