The Gabelli Utilities Fund Market Value
GAUAX Fund | USD 5.10 0.02 0.39% |
Symbol | The |
The Gabelli 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to The Gabelli's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of The Gabelli.
01/21/2023 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in The Gabelli on January 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Gabelli Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in The Gabelli over 720 days. The Gabelli is related to or competes with Qs Us, Calvert Large, Vest Large, Fundamental Large, Profunds-large Cap, Pace Large, and Blackrock Large. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of domestic or foreign companies that are involved ... More
The Gabelli Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure The Gabelli's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Gabelli Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 4.04 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.48) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.29 |
The Gabelli Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for The Gabelli's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as The Gabelli's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use The Gabelli historical prices to predict the future The Gabelli's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.10) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.38) |
Gabelli Utilities Backtested Returns
Gabelli Utilities owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the fund had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. The Gabelli Utilities exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate The Gabelli's Variance of 0.6535, coefficient of variation of (908.97), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.26, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Gabelli's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Gabelli is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.88 |
Excellent reverse predictability
The Gabelli Utilities has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between The Gabelli time series from 21st of January 2023 to 16th of January 2024 and 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of -0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current The Gabelli price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.88 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.78 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.11 |
Gabelli Utilities lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is The Gabelli mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting The Gabelli's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of The Gabelli returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that The Gabelli has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
The Gabelli regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If The Gabelli mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if The Gabelli mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in The Gabelli mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
The Gabelli Lagged Returns
When evaluating The Gabelli's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of The Gabelli mutual fund have on its future price. The Gabelli autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, The Gabelli autocorrelation shows the relationship between The Gabelli mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Gabelli Utilities.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund
The Gabelli financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Gabelli security.
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