Golden Agri Resources Stock Market Value

GARPF Stock  USD 0.19  0.05  35.71%   
Golden Agri's market value is the price at which a share of Golden Agri trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Golden Agri Resources investors about its performance. Golden Agri is trading at 0.19 as of the 17th of March 2025. This is a 35.71 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Golden Agri Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Golden Agri over a given investment horizon. Check out Golden Agri Correlation, Golden Agri Volatility and Golden Agri Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Golden Agri.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Agri's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Agri is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Agri's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Golden Agri 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Golden Agri's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Golden Agri.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Golden Agri on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Golden Agri Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Golden Agri over 90 days. Golden Agri is related to or competes with Wilmar International, SLC Agricola, Brasilagro Adr, Alico, Edible Garden, Vital Farms, and Local Bounti. Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated palm oil plantation company in Europ... More

Golden Agri Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Golden Agri's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Golden Agri Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Golden Agri Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Golden Agri's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Golden Agri's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Golden Agri historical prices to predict the future Golden Agri's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1911.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1611.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.2411.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.140.190.24
Details

Golden Agri Resources Backtested Returns

Golden Agri appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Golden Agri Resources holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0575, which attests that the entity had a 0.0575 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Golden Agri's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.67% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Golden Agri's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 25.17, downside deviation of 17.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.04 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Golden Agri holds a performance score of 4. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0154, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Golden Agri's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Golden Agri is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Golden Agri's total risk alpha, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Golden Agri's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Golden Agri Resources has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Golden Agri time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Golden Agri Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Golden Agri price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Golden Agri Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Golden Agri pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Golden Agri's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Golden Agri returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Golden Agri has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Golden Agri regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Golden Agri pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Golden Agri pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Golden Agri pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Golden Agri Lagged Returns

When evaluating Golden Agri's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Golden Agri pink sheet have on its future price. Golden Agri autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Golden Agri autocorrelation shows the relationship between Golden Agri pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Golden Agri Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Golden Pink Sheet

Golden Agri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Agri security.