Invesco Technology Fund Market Value

FTCHX Fund  USD 69.77  0.99  1.40%   
Invesco Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Technology Fund investors about its performance. Invesco Technology is trading at 69.77 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.4 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 70.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Technology Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Technology Correlation, Invesco Technology Volatility and Invesco Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Technology.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Technology's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Technology.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Technology on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Technology Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Technology over 30 days. Invesco Technology is related to or competes with Victory Rs, L Abbett, Artisan Small, Small Pany, Vanguard Growth, and Qs Growth. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of issuers engaged in ... More

Invesco Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Technology's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Technology Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Technology historical prices to predict the future Invesco Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.5269.7771.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.7974.2375.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.5069.7571.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.6268.0972.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Technology.

Invesco Technology Backtested Returns

Invesco Technology appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Invesco Technology holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.24, which attests that the entity had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Invesco Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Invesco Technology's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1258, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1832, and Downside Deviation of 1.56 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.19, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Invesco Technology will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.88  

Very good predictability

Invesco Technology Fund has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Technology time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Invesco Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.88
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.32

Invesco Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Technology mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Technology's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Technology mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Technology mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Technology mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Technology mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Technology mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Technology Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Technology security.
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