Firstservice Corp Stock Market Value
| FSV Stock | CAD 237.53 7.06 3.06% |
| Symbol | FirstService |
FirstService Corp Price To Book Ratio
FirstService Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FirstService Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FirstService Corp.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FirstService Corp on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FirstService Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in FirstService Corp over 90 days. FirstService Corp is related to or competes with Colliers International, Altus Group, CCL Industries, Ritchie Bros, and Stantec. FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property services to residential and comm... More
FirstService Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FirstService Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FirstService Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.97 |
FirstService Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FirstService Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FirstService Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FirstService Corp historical prices to predict the future FirstService Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) |
FirstService Corp Backtested Returns
FirstService Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which denotes the company had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. FirstService Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm FirstService Corp's Standard Deviation of 1.26, mean deviation of 0.9048, and Variance of 1.58 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, FirstService Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FirstService Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, FirstService Corp has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm FirstService Corp's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if FirstService Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.27 |
Weak reverse predictability
FirstService Corp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FirstService Corp time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FirstService Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current FirstService Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.27 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 57.95 |
FirstService Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is FirstService Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FirstService Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FirstService Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FirstService Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
FirstService Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FirstService Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FirstService Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FirstService Corp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
FirstService Corp Lagged Returns
When evaluating FirstService Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FirstService Corp stock have on its future price. FirstService Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FirstService Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between FirstService Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FirstService Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with FirstService Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if FirstService Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FirstService Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with FirstService Stock
Moving against FirstService Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to FirstService Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace FirstService Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back FirstService Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling FirstService Corp to buy it.
The correlation of FirstService Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as FirstService Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if FirstService Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for FirstService Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out FirstService Corp Correlation, FirstService Corp Volatility and FirstService Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FirstService Corp. To learn how to invest in FirstService Stock, please use our How to Invest in FirstService Corp guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
FirstService Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.