First Trust Preferred Fund Market Value

FPEIX Fund  USD 20.04  0.03  0.15%   
First Trust's market value is the price at which a share of First Trust trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of First Trust Preferred investors about its performance. First Trust is trading at 20.04 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 0.15 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of First Trust Preferred and determine expected loss or profit from investing in First Trust over a given investment horizon. Check out First Trust Correlation, First Trust Volatility and First Trust Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on First Trust.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

First Trust 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
0.00
12/25/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in First Trust on December 25, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust Preferred or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 720 days. First Trust is related to or competes with First Trust, Franklin Templeton, First Trust, First Trust, First Trust, Vivaldi Merger, and First Trust. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of its net assets in preferred securities and other securities with similar economic characteristics. More

First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust Preferred upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

First Trust Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8920.0420.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2918.4422.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.9520.1020.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.0020.0520.11
Details

First Trust Preferred Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider First Mutual Fund to be very steady. First Trust Preferred secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0744, which denotes the fund had a 0.0744% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for First Trust Preferred, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Coefficient Of Variation of 824.14, mean deviation of 0.1159, and Standard Deviation of 0.1514 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0109%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0232, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

First Trust Preferred has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 25th of December 2022 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust Preferred price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.5

First Trust Preferred lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is First Trust mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Trust's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

First Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Trust mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Trust mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Trust mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

First Trust Lagged Returns

When evaluating First Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Trust mutual fund have on its future price. First Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Trust mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Trust Preferred.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.
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