Fidelity Growth Discovery Fund Market Value

FGDKX Fund  USD 66.52  0.82  1.25%   
Fidelity Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity Growth Discovery investors about its performance. Fidelity Growth is trading at 66.52 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 1.25 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 65.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity Growth Discovery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity Growth Correlation, Fidelity Growth Volatility and Fidelity Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Growth.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity Growth on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Growth Discovery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Growth over 30 days. Fidelity Growth is related to or competes with Fidelity Leveraged, Fidelity Dividend, Fidelity Value, Fidelity Blue, and Fidelity Overseas. The fund normally invests primarily in common stocks More

Fidelity Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Growth Discovery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Growth historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.8465.7066.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.0164.8765.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.6766.5367.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.9264.7565.58
Details

Fidelity Growth Discovery Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity Growth Discovery secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which denotes the fund had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fidelity Growth Discovery, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity Growth's Coefficient Of Variation of 829.25, downside deviation of 1.03, and Mean Deviation of 0.6601 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.78, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Fidelity Growth Discovery has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Growth time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Growth Discovery price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Fidelity Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.61

Fidelity Growth Discovery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Growth Discovery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Growth security.
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