Fomento Econmico (Mexico) Market Value
| FEMSAUBD | MXN 198.91 0.81 0.41% |
| Symbol | Fomento |
Fomento Econmico 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fomento Econmico's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fomento Econmico.
| 12/20/2024 |
| 03/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fomento Econmico on December 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fomento Econmico Mexicano or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fomento Econmico over 90 days. Fomento Econmico is related to or competes with Grupo Financiero, Alfa SAB, Grupo Mxico, CEMEX SAB, and Grupo Bimbo. Fomento Econmico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a bottler of Coca-Cola trademark bevera... More
Fomento Econmico Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fomento Econmico's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fomento Econmico Mexicano upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1711 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.02 |
Fomento Econmico Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fomento Econmico's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fomento Econmico's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fomento Econmico historical prices to predict the future Fomento Econmico's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1039 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1872 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.326 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1941 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5797 |
Fomento Econmico Mexicano Backtested Returns
Fomento Econmico appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fomento Econmico Mexicano secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Fomento Econmico Mexicano, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fomento Econmico's Mean Deviation of 1.06, coefficient of variation of 882.5, and Downside Deviation of 1.33 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Fomento Econmico holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fomento Econmico's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fomento Econmico is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Fomento Econmico's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Fomento Econmico's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.22 |
Weak predictability
Fomento Econmico Mexicano has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fomento Econmico time series from 20th of December 2024 to 3rd of February 2025 and 3rd of February 2025 to 20th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fomento Econmico Mexicano price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Fomento Econmico price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 52.09 |
Fomento Econmico Mexicano lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fomento Econmico stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fomento Econmico's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fomento Econmico returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fomento Econmico has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fomento Econmico regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fomento Econmico stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fomento Econmico stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fomento Econmico stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fomento Econmico Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fomento Econmico's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fomento Econmico stock have on its future price. Fomento Econmico autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fomento Econmico autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fomento Econmico stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fomento Econmico Mexicano.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fomento Stock
Fomento Econmico financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fomento Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fomento with respect to the benefits of owning Fomento Econmico security.