Fidelity Value Discovery Fund Market Value

FDVKX Fund  USD 12.11  0.06  0.49%   
Fidelity Value's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity Value Discovery investors about its performance. Fidelity Value is trading at 12.11 as of the 22nd of January 2025; that is 0.49 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity Value Discovery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity Value Correlation, Fidelity Value Volatility and Fidelity Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Value.
0.00
12/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity Value on December 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Value Discovery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Value over 30 days. Fidelity Value is related to or competes with Blackrock Science, Technology Ultrasector, Pgim Jennison, Hennessy Technology, Red Oak, Allianzgi Technology, and Icon Information. It invests in securities of companies that Fidelity Management Research Company believes are undervalued in the marketpl... More

Fidelity Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Value Discovery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Value historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Value's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5512.2612.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6611.9412.23
Details

Fidelity Value Discovery Backtested Returns

Fidelity Value Discovery secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.06, which denotes the fund had a -0.06 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fidelity Value Discovery exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fidelity Value's Mean Deviation of 0.5249, standard deviation of 0.7062, and Variance of 0.4988 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Value's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Value is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

Fidelity Value Discovery has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Value time series from 23rd of December 2024 to 7th of January 2025 and 7th of January 2025 to 22nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Value Discovery price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Fidelity Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Fidelity Value Discovery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Value mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Value Discovery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Value security.
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