Ford Motor Preferred Stock Market Value

F-PB Preferred Stock  USD 23.83  0.10  0.42%   
Ford's market value is the price at which a share of Ford trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ford Motor investors about its performance. Ford is trading at 23.83 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.42% down since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 23.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ford Motor and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ford over a given investment horizon. Check out Ford Correlation, Ford Volatility and Ford Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ford.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ford 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ford's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ford.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ford on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ford Motor or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ford over 210 days. Ford is related to or competes with Ford, ATT, ATT, Aegon Funding, and DBA Sempra. More

Ford Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ford's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ford Motor upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ford Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ford's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ford's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ford historical prices to predict the future Ford's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.2423.8324.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5224.1124.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.3223.9124.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8424.4825.13
Details

Ford Motor Backtested Returns

Ford Motor secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0994, which denotes the company had a -0.0994% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ford Motor exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ford's Standard Deviation of 0.5829, variance of 0.3397, and Mean Deviation of 0.4406 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0867, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ford's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ford is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ford Motor has a negative expected return of -0.0587%. Please make sure to confirm Ford's accumulation distribution, day typical price, and the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if Ford Motor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

Ford Motor has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ford time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ford Motor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Ford price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09

Ford Motor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ford preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ford's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ford returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ford has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ford regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ford preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ford preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ford preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ford Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ford's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ford preferred stock have on its future price. Ford autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ford autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ford preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ford Motor.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Ford Preferred Stock

Ford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ford Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ford with respect to the benefits of owning Ford security.