Ashmore Emerging Markets Fund Market Value
| ESFCX Fund | USD 4.61 0.01 0.22% |
| Symbol | Ashmore |
Ashmore Emerging 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ashmore Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ashmore Emerging.
| 11/25/2024 |
| 12/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ashmore Emerging on November 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ashmore Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ashmore Emerging over 30 days. Ashmore Emerging is related to or competes with Ashmore Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, Ashmore Emerging, and Ashmore Emerging. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing principally in short-term debt instruments of, and derivative instr... More
Ashmore Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ashmore Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ashmore Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3934 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4405 |
Ashmore Emerging Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ashmore Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ashmore Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ashmore Emerging historical prices to predict the future Ashmore Emerging's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0367 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0084 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1853 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ashmore Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ashmore Emerging Markets Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Ashmore Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ashmore Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0352, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0352% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ashmore Emerging Markets, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ashmore Emerging's mean deviation of 0.1985, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0367 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0108%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0557, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ashmore Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ashmore Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.26 |
Poor predictability
Ashmore Emerging Markets has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ashmore Emerging time series from 25th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ashmore Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Ashmore Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Ashmore Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ashmore Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ashmore Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ashmore Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ashmore Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ashmore Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ashmore Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ashmore Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ashmore Emerging mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ashmore Emerging Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ashmore Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ashmore Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Ashmore Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ashmore Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ashmore Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ashmore Emerging Markets.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Ashmore Mutual Fund
Ashmore Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ashmore Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ashmore with respect to the benefits of owning Ashmore Emerging security.
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