El Al (Israel) Market Value

ELAL Stock   1,104  10.00  0.90%   
El Al's market value is the price at which a share of El Al trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of El Al Israel investors about its performance. El Al is trading at 1104.00 as of the 27th of February 2025, a 0.9 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1114.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of El Al Israel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in El Al over a given investment horizon. Check out El Al Correlation, El Al Volatility and El Al Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on El Al.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between El Al's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if El Al is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, El Al's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

El Al 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to El Al's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of El Al.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in El Al on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding El Al Israel or generate 0.0% return on investment in El Al over 30 days. El Al is related to or competes with Delek, Teva Pharmaceutical, Fattal 1998, Bank Leumi, and Bezeq Israeli. El Al Israel Airlines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides passengers and cargo transportation services More

El Al Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure El Al's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess El Al Israel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

El Al Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for El Al's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as El Al's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use El Al historical prices to predict the future El Al's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1011,1041,107
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
993.601,1691,172
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1991,2021,205
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
830.431,0041,177
Details

El Al Israel Backtested Returns

El Al is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. El Al Israel retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.34, which denotes the company had a 0.34 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.07% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use El Al Israel Downside Deviation of 3.51, market risk adjusted performance of (1.22), and Standard Deviation of 3.49 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. El Al holds a performance score of 26 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.5, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning El Al are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, El Al is likely to outperform the market. Use El Al Israel semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to analyze future returns on El Al Israel.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

El Al Israel has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between El Al time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of El Al Israel price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current El Al price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance919.51

El Al Israel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is El Al stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting El Al's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of El Al returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that El Al has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

El Al regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If El Al stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if El Al stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in El Al stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

El Al Lagged Returns

When evaluating El Al's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of El Al stock have on its future price. El Al autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, El Al autocorrelation shows the relationship between El Al stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in El Al Israel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in ELAL Stock

El Al financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELAL with respect to the benefits of owning El Al security.