Dream Residential Real Stock Market Value

DRREF Stock  USD 6.40  0.10  1.59%   
Dream Residential's market value is the price at which a share of Dream Residential trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dream Residential Real investors about its performance. Dream Residential is trading at 6.40 as of the 20th of January 2025. This is a 1.59 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dream Residential Real and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dream Residential over a given investment horizon. Check out Dream Residential Correlation, Dream Residential Volatility and Dream Residential Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dream Residential.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dream Residential 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dream Residential's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dream Residential.
0.00
10/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dream Residential on October 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dream Residential Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dream Residential over 90 days. Dream Residential is related to or competes with BSR Real, Bluerock Homes, UMH Properties, and InterRent Real. Dream Residential REIT is a newly created, unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust established and gover... More

Dream Residential Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dream Residential's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dream Residential Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dream Residential Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dream Residential's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dream Residential's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dream Residential historical prices to predict the future Dream Residential's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dream Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.066.408.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.255.597.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.336.679.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.116.446.77
Details

Dream Residential Real Backtested Returns

Dream Residential Real secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.077, which denotes the company had a -0.077 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Dream Residential Real exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dream Residential's Mean Deviation of 1.36, coefficient of variation of (1,298), and Standard Deviation of 2.34 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dream Residential are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dream Residential is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Dream Residential Real has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm Dream Residential's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Dream Residential Real performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Dream Residential Real has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dream Residential time series from 22nd of October 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dream Residential Real price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Dream Residential price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Dream Residential Real lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dream Residential pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dream Residential's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dream Residential returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dream Residential has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dream Residential regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dream Residential pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dream Residential pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dream Residential pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dream Residential Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dream Residential's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dream Residential pink sheet have on its future price. Dream Residential autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dream Residential autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dream Residential pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dream Residential Real.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Dream Pink Sheet

Dream Residential financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dream Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dream with respect to the benefits of owning Dream Residential security.