CENTRAL RETAIL (Thailand) Market Value

CRC-R Stock  THB 34.00  5.25  13.38%   
CENTRAL RETAIL's market value is the price at which a share of CENTRAL RETAIL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CENTRAL RETAIL P investors about its performance. CENTRAL RETAIL is trading at 34.00 as of the 10th of December 2024, a 13.38% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 39.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CENTRAL RETAIL P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CENTRAL RETAIL over a given investment horizon. Check out CENTRAL RETAIL Correlation, CENTRAL RETAIL Volatility and CENTRAL RETAIL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CENTRAL RETAIL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CENTRAL RETAIL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CENTRAL RETAIL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CENTRAL RETAIL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CENTRAL RETAIL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CENTRAL RETAIL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CENTRAL RETAIL.
0.00
09/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/10/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CENTRAL RETAIL on September 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CENTRAL RETAIL P or generate 0.0% return on investment in CENTRAL RETAIL over 90 days. CENTRAL RETAIL is related to or competes with PTT Oil, Delta Electronics, Com7 PCL, Erawan, Jay Mart, Airports, and Eastern Technical. Central Retail Corporation Public Company Limited operates as a multi-format multi-category retailing platform in Southe... More

CENTRAL RETAIL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CENTRAL RETAIL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CENTRAL RETAIL P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CENTRAL RETAIL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CENTRAL RETAIL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CENTRAL RETAIL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CENTRAL RETAIL historical prices to predict the future CENTRAL RETAIL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.3034.0035.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6135.3137.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.2633.9635.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.9138.8141.71
Details

CENTRAL RETAIL P Backtested Returns

CENTRAL RETAIL P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the company had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CENTRAL RETAIL P exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CENTRAL RETAIL's risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 0.3992 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, CENTRAL RETAIL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CENTRAL RETAIL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CENTRAL RETAIL P has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm CENTRAL RETAIL's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and day typical price , to decide if CENTRAL RETAIL P performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

CENTRAL RETAIL P has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CENTRAL RETAIL time series from 11th of September 2024 to 26th of October 2024 and 26th of October 2024 to 10th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CENTRAL RETAIL P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current CENTRAL RETAIL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.66

CENTRAL RETAIL P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CENTRAL RETAIL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CENTRAL RETAIL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CENTRAL RETAIL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CENTRAL RETAIL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CENTRAL RETAIL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CENTRAL RETAIL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CENTRAL RETAIL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CENTRAL RETAIL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CENTRAL RETAIL Lagged Returns

When evaluating CENTRAL RETAIL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CENTRAL RETAIL stock have on its future price. CENTRAL RETAIL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CENTRAL RETAIL autocorrelation shows the relationship between CENTRAL RETAIL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CENTRAL RETAIL P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CENTRAL Stock

CENTRAL RETAIL financial ratios help investors to determine whether CENTRAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CENTRAL with respect to the benefits of owning CENTRAL RETAIL security.