Cognizant Technology (Germany) Market Value

COZ Stock  EUR 77.69  1.71  2.25%   
Cognizant Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Cognizant Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cognizant Technology Solutions investors about its performance. Cognizant Technology is trading at 77.69 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 2.25% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 75.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cognizant Technology Solutions and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cognizant Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Cognizant Technology Correlation, Cognizant Technology Volatility and Cognizant Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cognizant Technology.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cognizant Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cognizant Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cognizant Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cognizant Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cognizant Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cognizant Technology.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cognizant Technology on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cognizant Technology Solutions or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cognizant Technology over 720 days. Cognizant Technology is related to or competes with Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, RYOHIN UNSPADR1, and Vanguard Funds. Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation, a professional services company, provides consulting and technology, and out... More

Cognizant Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cognizant Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cognizant Technology Solutions upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cognizant Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cognizant Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cognizant Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cognizant Technology historical prices to predict the future Cognizant Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.3175.9877.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.3374.0083.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.4575.1276.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.7473.0779.41
Details

Cognizant Technology Backtested Returns

At this point, Cognizant Technology is very steady. Cognizant Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Cognizant Technology Solutions, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Cognizant Technology's Downside Deviation of 1.65, risk adjusted performance of 0.0827, and Mean Deviation of 1.16 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Cognizant Technology has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.04, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Cognizant Technology returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cognizant Technology is expected to follow. Cognizant Technology right now shows a risk of 1.67%. Please confirm Cognizant Technology total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if Cognizant Technology will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Cognizant Technology Solutions has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cognizant Technology time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cognizant Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Cognizant Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.29

Cognizant Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cognizant Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cognizant Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cognizant Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cognizant Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cognizant Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cognizant Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cognizant Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cognizant Technology stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cognizant Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cognizant Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cognizant Technology stock have on its future price. Cognizant Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cognizant Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cognizant Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cognizant Technology Solutions.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cognizant Stock

When determining whether Cognizant Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cognizant Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cognizant Technology Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cognizant Technology Solutions Stock:
Check out Cognizant Technology Correlation, Cognizant Technology Volatility and Cognizant Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cognizant Technology.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Cognizant Technology technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Cognizant Technology technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Cognizant Technology trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...