China Merchants Port Stock Market Value

CMHHF Stock  USD 1.62  0.00  0.00%   
China Merchants' market value is the price at which a share of China Merchants trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Merchants Port investors about its performance. China Merchants is trading at 1.62 as of the 25th of December 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Merchants Port and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Merchants over a given investment horizon. Check out China Merchants Correlation, China Merchants Volatility and China Merchants Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Merchants.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Merchants 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Merchants' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Merchants.
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11/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/25/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in China Merchants on November 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Merchants Port or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Merchants over 30 days. China Merchants is related to or competes with Castor Maritime, Nordic American, Algoma Central, DAmico International, Western Bulk, AP Moeller, and AP Mller. China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a port operator in Mainland Ch... More

China Merchants Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Merchants' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Merchants Port upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Merchants Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Merchants' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Merchants' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Merchants historical prices to predict the future China Merchants' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.624.48
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.384.24
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Merchants. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Merchants' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Merchants' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Merchants Port.

China Merchants Port Backtested Returns

At this point, China Merchants is very risky. China Merchants Port secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0384, which signifies that the company had a 0.0384% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for China Merchants Port, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Merchants' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0518, downside deviation of 7.57, and Mean Deviation of 1.64 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. China Merchants has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China Merchants are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China Merchants is likely to outperform the market. China Merchants Port right now shows a risk of 2.86%. Please confirm China Merchants Port value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if China Merchants Port will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

China Merchants Port has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Merchants time series from 25th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Merchants Port price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current China Merchants price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

China Merchants Port lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Merchants pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Merchants' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Merchants returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Merchants has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Merchants regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Merchants pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Merchants pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Merchants pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Merchants Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Merchants' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Merchants pink sheet have on its future price. China Merchants autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Merchants autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Merchants pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Merchants Port.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Merchants financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Merchants security.