Central Puerto (Argentina) Market Value
| CEPU Stock | ARS 1,595 65.00 4.25% |
| Symbol | Central |
Central Puerto 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Central Puerto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Central Puerto.
| 12/23/2022 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Central Puerto on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Central Puerto SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Central Puerto over 720 days. Central Puerto is related to or competes with Harmony Gold, Compania, Transportadora, and United States. Central Puerto S.A. generates and sells electric power to private and public customers in Argentina More
Central Puerto Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Central Puerto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Central Puerto SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.131 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.79) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.25 |
Central Puerto Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Central Puerto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Central Puerto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Central Puerto historical prices to predict the future Central Puerto's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1387 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4854 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0478 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.129 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.93) |
Central Puerto SA Backtested Returns
Central Puerto appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Central Puerto SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Central Puerto SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Central Puerto's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1387, downside deviation of 2.46, and Mean Deviation of 1.86 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Central Puerto holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Central Puerto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Central Puerto is likely to outperform the market. Please check Central Puerto's standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Central Puerto's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Central Puerto SA has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Central Puerto time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Central Puerto SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Central Puerto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 28.6 K |
Central Puerto SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Central Puerto stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Central Puerto's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Central Puerto returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Central Puerto has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Central Puerto regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Central Puerto stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Central Puerto stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Central Puerto stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Central Puerto Lagged Returns
When evaluating Central Puerto's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Central Puerto stock have on its future price. Central Puerto autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Central Puerto autocorrelation shows the relationship between Central Puerto stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Central Puerto SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Central Stock
When determining whether Central Puerto SA is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Central Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock:Check out Central Puerto Correlation, Central Puerto Volatility and Central Puerto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Central Puerto. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Central Puerto technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.