Caixabank (Spain) Market Value

CABK Stock  EUR 5.33  0.04  0.74%   
Caixabank's market value is the price at which a share of Caixabank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Caixabank SA investors about its performance. Caixabank is trading at 5.33 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 0.74% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Caixabank SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Caixabank over a given investment horizon. Check out Caixabank Correlation, Caixabank Volatility and Caixabank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Caixabank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Caixabank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caixabank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caixabank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Caixabank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caixabank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caixabank.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Caixabank on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caixabank SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caixabank over 90 days. Caixabank is related to or competes with Banco De, Banco Santander, Bankinter, Repsol, and Mapfre. CaixaBank, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in Spain and inter... More

Caixabank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caixabank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caixabank SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Caixabank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caixabank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caixabank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caixabank historical prices to predict the future Caixabank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.465.337.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.634.506.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.785.647.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.015.385.75
Details

Caixabank SA Backtested Returns

At this point, Caixabank is somewhat reliable. Caixabank SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0046, which signifies that the company had a 0.0046% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Caixabank SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Caixabank's Mean Deviation of 1.41, risk adjusted performance of 0.0184, and Downside Deviation of 2.26 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0086%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Caixabank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Caixabank is likely to outperform the market. Caixabank SA right now shows a risk of 1.87%. Please confirm Caixabank SA information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Caixabank SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Caixabank SA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caixabank time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caixabank SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Caixabank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Caixabank SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Caixabank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Caixabank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Caixabank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Caixabank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Caixabank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Caixabank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Caixabank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Caixabank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Caixabank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Caixabank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Caixabank stock have on its future price. Caixabank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Caixabank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Caixabank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caixabank SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Caixabank Stock

Caixabank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caixabank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caixabank with respect to the benefits of owning Caixabank security.